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arXiv · 2501.19260

Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investments and portfolio diversification

Preben Forer·Barak Budnick·Pierpaolo Vivo·Sabrina Aufiero·Silvia Bartolucci·Fabio Caccioli
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Abstract

We analyze the stability of financial investment networks, where financial institutions hold overlapping portfolios of assets. We consider the effect of portfolio diversification and heterogeneous investments using a random matrix dynamical model driven by portfolio rebalancing. While heterogeneity generally correlates with heightened volatility, increasing diversification may have a stabilizing or destabilizing effect depending on the connectivity level of the network. The stability/instability transition is dictated by the largest eigenvalue of the random matrix governing the time evolution of the endogenous components of the returns, for which different approximation schemes are proposed and tested against numerical diagonalization.

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Preben Forer, Barak Budnick, Pierpaolo Vivo, Sabrina Aufiero, Silvia Bartolucci, Fabio Caccioli. 2025-01-31. Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investments and portfolio diversification. https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.19260

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