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arXiv · 2502.15848

A non-parametric optimal design algorithm for population pharmacokinetics

Markus Hovd·Alona Kryshchenko·Michael N. Neely·Julian Otalvaro·Alan Schumitzky·Walter M. Yamada
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Abstract

This paper introduces a non-parametric estimation algorithm designed to effectively estimate the joint distribution of model parameters with application to population pharmacokinetics. Our research group has previously developed the non-parametric adaptive grid (NPAG) algorithm, which while accurate, explores parameter space using an ad-hoc method to suggest new support points. In contrast, the non-parametric optimal design (NPOD) algorithm uses a gradient approach to suggest new support points, which reduces the amount of time spent evaluating non-relevant points and by this the overall number of cycles required to reach convergence. In this paper, we demonstrate that the NPOD algorithm achieves similar solutions to NPAG across two datasets, while being significantly more efficient in both the number of cycles required and overall runtime. Given the importance of developing robust and efficient algorithms for determining drug doses quickly in pharmacokinetics, the NPOD algorithm represents a valuable advancement in non-parametric modeling. Further analysis is needed to determine which algorithm performs better under specific conditions.

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Markus Hovd, Alona Kryshchenko, Michael N. Neely, Julian Otalvaro, Alan Schumitzky, Walter M. Yamada. 2025-02-20. A non-parametric optimal design algorithm for population pharmacokinetics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.15848

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