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arXiv · 2504.18678

Regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) Estimator

Francesco Giancaterini·Alain Hecq·Joann Jasiak·Aryan Manafi Neyazi
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Abstract

We introduce a regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) estimator as an extension of the GCov estimator to high dimensional setting that results either from high-dimensional data or a large number of nonlinear transformations used in the objective function. The approach relies on a ridge-type regularization for high-dimensional matrix inversion in the objective function of the GCov. The RGCov estimator is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We provide the conditions under which it can reach semiparametric efficiency and discuss the selection of the optimal regularization parameter. We also examine the diagonal GCov estimator, which simplifies the computation of the objective function. The GCov-based specification test, and the test for nonlinear serial dependence (NLSD) are extended to the regularized RGCov specification and RNLSD tests with asymptotic Chi-square distributions. Simulation studies show that the RGCov estimator and the regularized tests perform well in the high dimensional setting. We apply the RGCov to estimate the mixed causal and noncausal VAR model of stock prices of green energy companies.

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Francesco Giancaterini, Alain Hecq, Joann Jasiak, Aryan Manafi Neyazi. 2025-04-25. Regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) Estimator. https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.18678

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