SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2505.05784

FlowHFT: Imitation Learning via Flow Matching Policy for Optimal High-Frequency Trading under Diverse Market Conditions

Abstract

High-frequency trading (HFT) is an investing strategy that continuously monitors market states and places bid and ask orders at millisecond speeds. Traditional HFT approaches fit models with historical data and assume that future market states follow similar patterns. This limits the effectiveness of any single model to the specific conditions it was trained for. Additionally, these models achieve optimal solutions only under specific market conditions, such as assumptions about stock price's stochastic process, stable order flow, and the absence of sudden volatility. Real-world markets, however, are dynamic, diverse, and frequently volatile. To address these challenges, we propose the FlowHFT, a novel imitation learning framework based on flow matching policy. FlowHFT simultaneously learns strategies from numerous expert models, each proficient in particular market scenarios. As a result, our framework can adaptively adjust investment decisions according to the prevailing market state. Furthermore, FlowHFT incorporates a grid-search fine-tuning mechanism. This allows it to refine strategies and achieve superior performance even in complex or extreme market scenarios where expert strategies may be suboptimal. We test FlowHFT in multiple market environments. We first show that flow matching policy is applicable in stochastic market environments, thus enabling FlowHFT to learn trading strategies under different market conditions. Notably, our single framework consistently achieves performance superior to the best expert for each market condition.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Yang Li, Zhi Chen, Steve Yang. 2025-05-09. FlowHFT: Imitation Learning via Flow Matching Policy for Optimal High-Frequency Trading under Diverse Market Conditions. https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.05784

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Deep Learning of Robust Market Making under Regime-Switching Order Flow

Classical market-making strategies based on stochastic control, such as the Avellaneda-Stoikov and the Gu\'{e}ant-Lehalle-Fernandez-Tapia (GLFT) extension, provide closed-form quoting rules, but rest on assumptions that break down at realistic microstructure timescales. One of them is that order flow is stationary, while empirical evidence points to the existence of regimes, possibly associated with algorithmic execution of metaorders. In this case, existing methods provide negative PnL. In this paper, we develop a deep reinforcement-learning market maker (RLMM) - a Rainbow-style distributional DQN (C51) which is calibrated and tested in a zero-intelligence limit order book. We find that, in the stationary setting, RLMM outperforms GLFT across the entire observed risk-return frontier. The RLMM is more robust to flow asymmetry than GLFT, but, like any stationarily trained strategy, it still suffers large drawdowns from inventory saturation under persistent directional imbalance. Augmenting the state of RLMM with two auxiliary signals - a Bayesian online change-point filter over the directional flow bias and a queue-adjusted quote-exposure imbalance -restores profitability. A final scenario-bandit step that reweights low-return regime scenarios further improves performance under random-persistence and correlated-direction stress.

q-fin.TR

dexamine: A Python package for Uniswap event data on Ethereum

Decentralized exchanges record trading and liquidity provision on public blockchains, but empirical analysis requires interpreting these records and linking them to execution metadata. dexamine is a Python package that parses Uniswap v2 and v3 events on Ethereum. It converts transaction receipt logs into observations of trades and liquidity changes, with token quantities, pool state, transaction order, and gas information. The package separates data retrieval, contract metadata, protocol interpretation, and output construction. The repository provides recorded Ethereum responses and an offline reproducible example, and version 1 has been used to construct data for an empirical study of price discovery in decentralized markets.

q-fin.TR

The Double-Edged Sword of Short-Selling Bans

We develop a theoretical model that endogenizes the regulator's decision to impose short-selling bans to prevent large stock price declines. Empirically, we test the model's predictions using the cross-sectional variation in short-selling restrictions implemented across European countries in 2020. Consistent with our model, we find that bans had a detrimental effect on liquidity and failed to support the average price levels, but were effective in limiting large price drawdowns. Finally, we show that the effectiveness of the bans depends on the share of informed stockholders, a central variable in our framework, thus informing the design of more effective regulatory responses.

q-fin.TR