Computational adversarial risk analysis for general security games

Jose Manuel Camacho; Roi Naveiro; David Rios Insua

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arXiv · 2506.02603

Computational adversarial risk analysis for general security games

Jose Manuel Camacho·Roi Naveiro·David Rios Insua

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Abstract

This paper provides an efficient computational scheme to handle general security games from an adversarial risk analysis perspective. Two cases in relation to single-stage and multi-stage simultaneous defend-attack games motivate our approach to general setups which uses bi-agent influence diagrams as underlying problem structure and augmented probability simulation as core computational methodology. Theoretical convergence and numerical, modeling, and implementation issues are thoroughly discussed. A disinformation war case study illustrates the relevance of the proposed approach.

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BibTeX RIS

Jose Manuel Camacho, Roi Naveiro, David Rios Insua. 2025-06-03. Computational adversarial risk analysis for general security games. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.02603

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