arXiv · 2507.01993
Finding good bets in the lottery, and why you shouldn't take them
Abstract
We give a criterion under which the expected return on a ticket for certain large lotteries is positive. In this circumstance, we use elementary portfolio analysis to show that an optimal investment strategy includes a very small allocation for such tickets.
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Aaron Abrams, Skip Garibaldi. 2025-06-30. Finding good bets in the lottery, and why you shouldn't take them. https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.01993
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