Unveiling the dark Universe with HI and EMBER-2

Abstract

Next-generation radio telescopes will provide unprecedented data volumes of the neutral hydrogen (HI) distribution across cosmic time. The spatial and kinematic distribution of HI is a biased tracer of the underlying matter field, and as such contains information on the distribution of dark matter over a wide range of scales. Extracting dark matter properties from HI, however, is non-trivial because baryonic processes linked to galaxy formation significantly modify the HI distribution. Additionally, methods that use empirical relations, often calibrated via numerical simulations, do not use the full field-level information to model the complex relation between HI and dark matter. We use the recently introduced EMBER-2 model to directly predict dark matter distributions from HI tracers over a wide redshift range, z=0-6. After training on cosmological galaxy formation simulations run with FIRE-2, our method accurately recovers key statistics, including dark matter mass fractions, surface density profiles and cross-correlations, where the latter are reconstructed at an accuracy of 20% down to scales of k = 100 h/cMpc constituting a significant improvement over traditional approaches. The presented method may become a key ingredient in future inference pipelines as it can be readily integrated into downstream analysis tasks of radio surveys.