Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2508.02569

Understanding Heterogeneity in Adaptation to Intermittent Water Supply: Clustering Household Types in Amman, Jordan

Shreyas Gadge·Vítor V. Vasconcelos·André de Roos·Elisabeth H. Krueger
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

More than a billion people around the world experience intermittence in their water supply, posing challenges for urban households in Global South cities. An intermittent water supply (IWS) system prompts water users to adapt to service deficits which entails coping costs. Adaptation and its impacts can vary between households within the same city, leading to intra-urban inequality. Studies on household adaptation to IWS through survey data are limited to exploring income-based heterogeneity and do not account for the multidimensional and non-linear nature of the data. There is a need for a standardized methodology for understanding household responses to IWS that acknowledges the heterogeneity of households characterized by sets of multiple underlying factors and that is applicable across different settings. Here, we develop an analysis pipeline that applies hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA) in combination with the Welch-two-sample t-test on household survey data from Amman, Jordan. We identify three clusters of households distinguished by a set of characteristics including income, water social network, supply duration, relocation and water quality problems and identify their group-specific adaptive strategies such as contacting the utility or accessing an alternate water source. This study uncovers the unequal nature of IWS adaptation in Amman, giving insights into the link between household characteristics and adaptive behaviors, while proposing a standardized method to reveal relevant heterogeneity in households adapting to IWS.

Explore related subjects

stat.AP

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Shreyas Gadge, Vítor V. Vasconcelos, André de Roos, Elisabeth H. Krueger. 2025-08-04. Understanding Heterogeneity in Adaptation to Intermittent Water Supply: Clustering Household Types in Amman, Jordan. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cacint.2026.100337

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Privacy-Preserving Causal Meta-Mediation Analysis with Survival Outcomes

Privacy and data-governance constraints often prevent pooling individual-level data across studies, limiting the use of conventional approaches for causal media- tion analysis in multicenter settings. We propose a federated causal meta-mediation framework for right-censored time-to-event outcomes that enables collaborative es- timation without sharing individual-level data. Our framework targets natural indirect effects in a prespecified population by combining information on mediator and outcome mechanisms across distributed data sources. A site-by-site identifi- cation strategy further allows heterogeneity across data sources to be character- ized, with a variance decomposition separating outcome-related, mediator-related, and interaction components. We develop federated one-step and targeted maxi- mum likelihood estimators that accommodate data-adaptive and machine-learning methods for nuisance-function estimation. The finite-sample performance of the proposed estimators is evaluated through numerical simulations. To illustrate the practical utility of the framework, we apply it on data from the French National Health Data System to evaluate the role of methotrexate coprescription in explain- ing the effect of TNFi versus IL-12/23 inhibitor therapy on treatment persistence among psoriatic patients.

stat.AP↗
arXiv2026

Geospatial Foundation Models Capture Health-Relevant Dimensions of Place Beyond Conventional Social Risk Indices

Area-based social risk indices summarize residents' socioeconomic conditions but incompletely capture physical features of place that may affect health. We evaluated whether numerical representations of physical place produced by four geospatial foundation model families from 2022 satellite data explained residual variance in tract-level associations between the Area Deprivation Index, Social Deprivation Index, and Social Vulnerability Index with health outcomes. We used LightGBM to predict variables from the American Community Survey and 40 chronic disease and health-behavior outcomes from CDC PLACES across 82,646 census tracts in the contiguous United States, evaluating performance across 10 held-out states. Among survey variables, models were moderately predictive of some variables including housing type (R-squared up to 0.54) but weak for disability, unemployment, and income disparity. For health outcomes, models explained up to 54% of variance left unexplained by social risk indices, with the largest gains for annual checkups, arthritis, and high blood pressure. Mean total variance explained by geospatial foundation models across the 40 health-related outcomes increased from 0.31 in the smallest tract-size decile to 0.39 in the largest. Geospatial foundation models capture health-relevant features of place not represented by conventional social risk indices and may usefully augment them in epidemiological analyses.

stat.AP↗
arXiv2026

A spatiotemporal negative binomial model with dynamic dispersion: An application to Tuberculosis infections

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health concern in Brazil, characterized by pronounced spatial heterogeneity and fluctuating temporal volatility. In this paper, we study monthly TB notifications across 61 microregions of Sao Paulo state from 2001 to 2024. To do this, we introduce a negative binomial spatial integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (INGARCH) model featuring jointly dynamic conditional means and time-varying dispersion. To capture inter-regional spillovers, we incorporate both discrete adjacency structures and a novel continuous distance-based formulation leveraging the Matern correlation function. Parameter estimation via conditional maximum likelihood employs a two-step profile-likelihood iterative scheme, demonstrating solid finite-sample performance in simulation studies. Applied to the Sao Paulo TB surveillance data, the framework substantially outperforms standard Poisson and fixed-dispersion spatiotemporal baselines in empirical fit and uncertainty quantification, maintaining nominal 95% predictive coverage across both dense metropolitan centers and rural microregions. Our results reveal marked spatial heterogeneity in baseline incidence, dynamic overdispersion driven by localized outbreaks, and short-range spatial interaction decay. By accurately modeling spatiotemporal volatility, the proposed methodology provides a robust statistical tool to support public health surveillance, policy-making, and resource allocation.

stat.AP↗