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arXiv · 2510.05080

MICROTRIPS: MICRO-geography TRavel Intelligence and Pattern Synthesis

Yangyang Wang·Tayo Fabusuyi
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Abstract

This study presents a novel small-area estimation framework to enhance urban transportation planning through detailed characterization of travel behavior. Our approach improves on the four-step travel model by employing publicly available microdata files and machine learning methods to predict travel behavior for a representative, synthetic population at small geographic areas. This approach enables high-resolution estimation of trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and route assignment. Validation using ACS/PUMS work-commute datasets demonstrates that our framework achieves higher accuracy compared to conventional approaches. The resulting granular insights enable the tailoring of interventions to address localized situations and support a range of policy applications and targeted interventions, including the optimal placement of micro-fulfillment centers, effective curb-space management, and the design of more inclusive transportation solutions particularly for vulnerable communities.

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Yangyang Wang, Tayo Fabusuyi. 2025-10-06. MICROTRIPS: MICRO-geography TRavel Intelligence and Pattern Synthesis. https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.05080

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