A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow

Sohaib El Karmi

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arXiv · 2510.08085

A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow

Sohaib El Karmi

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Abstract

We present a reproducible research framework for market microstructure combining a deterministic C++ limit order book (LOB) simulator with stochastic order flow generated by multivariate marked Hawkes processes. The paper derives full stability and ergodicity proofs for both linear and nonlinear Hawkes models, implements time-rescaling and goodness-of-fit diagnostics, and calibrates exponential and power-law kernels on Binance BTCUSDT and LOBSTER AAPL datasets. Empirical results highlight the nearly-unstable subcritical regime as essential for reproducing realistic clustering in order flow. All code, datasets, and configuration files are publicly available at https://github.com/sohaibelkarmi/High-Frequency-Trading-Simulator

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Sohaib El Karmi. 2025-10-09. A Deterministic Limit Order Book Simulator with Hawkes-Driven Order Flow. https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.08085

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