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arXiv · 2511.19781

Dynamic Mechanism Collapse: A Boundary Characterization

Xiaopeng Zeng·Erbao Cao
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Abstract

Public histories may change continuation rules but not ex-ante value. We study when public histories beyond posterior beliefs affect the seller's ex-ante value in dynamic mechanism design with a single-shot resource. We construct a belief-space payoff map from maximal sequential-equilibrium continuation values indexed by date and posterior belief. We show that the optimal ex-ante value of the dynamic problem is the finite concavification of the upper envelope of these continuation values. We give a belief-space criterion for when non-posterior public histories have no additional value, so that a terminal posterior-only mechanism attains the full-history value. Our results provide structural insights into when public histories matter for ex-ante value rather than merely for continuation play.

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Xiaopeng Zeng, Erbao Cao. 2025-11-24. Dynamic Mechanism Collapse: A Boundary Characterization. https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.19781

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