SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2512.10212

Semiparametric rank-based regression models as robust alternatives to parametric mean-based counterparts for censored responses under detection-limit

Abstract

Detection limits are common in biomedical and environmental studies, where key covariates or outcomes are censored below an assay-specific threshold. Standard approaches such as complete-case analysis, single-value substitution, and parametric Tobit-type models are either inefficient or sensitive to distributional misspecification. We study semiparametric rank-based regression models as robust alternatives to parametric mean-based counterparts for censored responses under detection limits. Our focus is on accelerated failure time (AFT) type formulations, where rank-based estimating equations yield consistent slope estimates without specifying the error distribution. We develop a unifying simulation framework that generates left- and right-censored data under several data-generating mechanisms, including normal, Weibull, and log-normal error structures, with detection limits or administrative censoring calibrated to target censoring rates between 10\% and 60\%. Across scenarios, we compare semiparametric AFT estimators with parametric Weibull AFT, Tobit, and Cox proportional hazards models in terms of bias, empirical variability, and relative efficiency. Numerical results show that parametric models perform well only under correct specification, whereas rank-based semiparametric AFT estimators maintain near-unbiased covariate effects and stable precision even under heavy censoring and distributional misspecification. These findings support semiparametric rank-based regression as a practical default for censored regression with detection limits when the error distribution is uncertain. Keywords: Semiparametric models, Estimating equations, Left censoring, Right censoring, Tobit regression, Efficiency

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Y. Xu, S. Tu L. Shao, T. Lin, X. M. Tu. 2025-12-11. Semiparametric rank-based regression models as robust alternatives to parametric mean-based counterparts for censored responses under detection-limit. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.10212

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Surprise Reduction and Nullification in Bayesian and Inverse Bayesian Inference under Ambiguous Prediction-Error Attribution

In non-stationary environments, prediction errors may signal environmental change or transient outliers, and adaptive systems must track such changes without overreacting to outliers. We distinguish surprise reduction, which updates beliefs to fit observations, from surprise nullification, which weakens constraints imposed by the predictive structure, and formalize both within Bayesian and inverse Bayesian (BIB) inference. Belief and likelihood updates are derived from variational objectives sharing a nullification strength, determined endogenously by minimizing surprise under the candidate post-update predictive distribution. In the Gaussian case, nullification expands belief and likelihood variances by a common factor relative to standard Bayesian updating, leaving the ratio unchanged. BIB thus defers attribution of the prediction error, committing to neither latent-state change nor observation-process uncertainty. The nullification strength is carried over as a candidate and is maintained or released according to the predictive surprise of the next observation. In a mean estimation task with outliers and changepoints, no scanned parameter setting of a Sage-Husa-type adaptive Kalman filter, fixed-strength BIB variant, or belief-forgetting-only variant outperforms BIB in both changepoint tracking and post-outlier stability. An oracle-informed reduced Bayesian model tracks changepoints better but is less stable after outliers. Although BIB maintains no explicit hypotheses about changepoints or outliers, it generates event-dependent dynamics. The learning rate increases after changepoints, whereas after outliers, nullification is released, and this increase is suppressed. Deferring attribution and letting subsequent observations differentiate the responses may constitute a principle of adaptive inference in non-stationary environments.

stat.ME

Generalized Ridge Refitting for the Lasso and Prediction Improvement Bounds

We study a class of Lasso based estimators obtained by applying a quadratic correction on the Lasso equicorrelation set. The penalty matrix determines both the magnitude and geometry of the correction and contains, among other cases, the isotropic Lasso--Ridge correction, least squares refitting, Gram proportional interpolation between the Lasso and least squares, and coordinate specific penalties. We first derive a closed form representation and isolate the positive gain component of the resulting prediction improvement. We then control the remaining stochastic linear term in expectation by localizing the random signed equicorrelation model around a deterministic reference support. This yields a finite sample expectation bound that explicitly accounts for the randomness induced by Lasso model selection. The resulting decomposition provides a unified framework for understanding when Lasso based quadratic corrections can improve prediction.

stat.ME

Discretization in covariate-adaptive randomization: gains and losses

Covariate-adaptive randomization(CAR) is widely implemented in clinical trials to balance prognostic covariates across treatment arms. Continuous covariates are often discretized into strata in practice, yet their consequences are not clearly understood. This paper provides a comprehensive study of the impact of discretization on both the CAR design process and the inferential results thereafter. We establish the asymptotic properties of both imbalance measures and treatment effect estimators under discretized and non-discretized settings. Practical recommendations are given on when and how discretization should be employed. We show that discretization in design is generally recommended, as it enhances robustness against model misspecification. However, if the true model is known, the most efficient strategy is to balance covariates according to that model in the design. The theoretical results are corroborated by extensive simulation studies and an empirical application to a diabetes trial dataset. Together, the results clarify the gains and losses of discretization in CAR and pave the way for learning impact of discretization to other designs and beyond.

stat.ME