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arXiv · 2512.12301

TwinFormer: A Dual-Level Transformer for Long-Sequence Time-Series Forecasting

Mahima Kumavat·Aditya Maheshwari
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Abstract

TwinFormer is a hierarchical Transformer for long-sequence time-series forecasting. It divides the input into non-overlapping temporal patches and processes them in two stages: (1) a Local Informer with top-$k$ Sparse Attention models intra-patch dynamics, followed by mean pooling; (2) a Global Informer captures long-range inter-patch dependencies using the same top-$k$ attention. A lightweight GRU aggregates the globally contextualized patch tokens for direct multi-horizon prediction. The resulting architecture achieves linear $O(kLd)$ time and memory complexity. On eight real-world benchmarking datasets from six different domains, including weather, stock price, temperature, power consumption, electricity, and disease, and forecasting horizons $96-720$, TwinFormer secures $27$ positions in the top two out of $34$. Out of the $27$, it achieves the best performance on MAE and RMSE at $17$ places and $10$ at the second-best place on MAE and RMSE. This consistently outperforms PatchTST, iTransformer, FEDformer, Informer, and vanilla Transformers. Ablations confirm the superiority of top-$k$ Sparse Attention over ProbSparse and the effectiveness of GRU-based aggregation. Code is available at this repository: https://github.com/Mahimakumavat1205/TwinFormer.

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Mahima Kumavat, Aditya Maheshwari. 2025-12-13. TwinFormer: A Dual-Level Transformer for Long-Sequence Time-Series Forecasting. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.12301

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