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arXiv · 2512.15685

A Multivariate Statistical Framework for Detection, Classification and Pre-localization of Anomalies in Water Distribution Networks

Oleg Melnikov·Yurii Dorofieiev·Yurii Shakhnovskiy·Huy Truong·Victoria Degeler
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Abstract

This paper presents a unified framework, for the detection, classification, and preliminary localization of anomalies in water distribution networks using multivariate statistical analysis. The approach, termed SICAMS (Statistical Identification and Classification of Anomalies in Mahalanobis Space), processes heterogeneous pressure and flow sensor data through a whitening transformation to eliminate spatial correlations among measurements. Based on the transformed data, the Hotelling's $T^2$ statistic is constructed, enabling the formulation of anomaly detection as a statistical hypothesis test of network conformity to normal operating conditions. It is shown that Hotelling's $T^2$ statistic can serve as an integral indicator of the overall "health" of the system, exhibiting correlation with total leakage volume, and thereby enabling approximate estimation of water losses via a regression model. A heuristic algorithm is developed to analyze the $T^2$ time series and classify detected anomalies into abrupt leaks, incipient leaks, and sensor malfunctions. Furthermore, a coarse leak localization method is proposed, which ranks sensors according to their statistical contribution and employs Laplacian interpolation to approximate the affected region within the network. Application of the proposed framework to the BattLeDIM L-Town benchmark dataset demonstrates high sensitivity and reliability in leak detection, maintaining robust performance even under multiple leaks. These capabilities make the method applicable to real-world operational environments without the need for a calibrated hydraulic model.

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Oleg Melnikov, Yurii Dorofieiev, Yurii Shakhnovskiy, Huy Truong, Victoria Degeler. 2025-12-17. A Multivariate Statistical Framework for Detection, Classification and Pre-localization of Anomalies in Water Distribution Networks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15685

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