Explicit Abstention Knobs for Predictable Reliability in Video Question Answering

Jorge Ortiz

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arXiv · 2601.00138

Explicit Abstention Knobs for Predictable Reliability in Video Question Answering

Jorge Ortiz

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Abstract

High-stakes deployment of vision-language models (VLMs) requires selective prediction, where systems abstain when uncertain rather than risk costly errors. We investigate whether confidence-based abstention provides reliable control over error rates in video question answering, and whether that control remains robust under distribution shift. Using NExT-QA and Gemini 2.0 Flash, we establish two findings. First, confidence thresholding provides mechanistic control in-distribution. Sweeping threshold epsilon produces smooth risk-coverage tradeoffs, reducing error rates f

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Jorge Ortiz. 2025-12-31. Explicit Abstention Knobs for Predictable Reliability in Video Question Answering. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00138

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