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arXiv · 2601.10367

Inverse Learning in $2\times2$ Games: From Synthetic Interactions to Traffic Simulation

Daniela Aguirre Salazar·Firas Moatemri·Tatiana Tatarenko
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Abstract

Understanding how agents coordinate or compete from limited behavioral data is central to modeling strategic interactions in traffic, robotics, and other multi-agent systems. In this work, we investigate the following complementary formulations of inverse game-theoretic learning: (i) a Closed-form Correlated Equilibrium Maximum-Likelihood estimator (CE-ML) specialized for $2\times2$ games; and (ii) a Logit Best Response Maximum-Likelihood estimator (LBR-ML) that captures long-run adaptation dynamics via stochastic response processes. Together, these approaches span the spectrum between static equilibrium consistency and dynamic behavioral realism. We evaluate them on synthetic "chicken-dare" games and traffic-interaction scenarios simulated in SUMO, comparing parameter recovery and distributional fit. Results reveal clear trade-offs between interpretability, computational tractability, and behavioral expressiveness across models.

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Daniela Aguirre Salazar, Firas Moatemri, Tatiana Tatarenko. 2026-01-15. Inverse Learning in $2\times2$ Games: From Synthetic Interactions to Traffic Simulation. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10367

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