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arXiv · 2601.17590

Travelling Waves in Wolbachia Spread Dynamics

Zhuolin Qu·Tong Wu·Eddy Kwessi
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Abstract

Wolbachia, a maternally transmitted endosymbiont, offers a powerful biological control strategy for mosquito-borne diseases such as dengue, Zika, and malaria. We develop an integro-difference equation (IDE) model that integrates Wolbachia's nonlinear growth with spatially explicit mosquito dispersal kernels to study invasion dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes. Analytical results establish the existence and uniqueness of monotone traveling waves and provide explicit estimates of invasion speeds as functions of dispersal and growth parameters. Four kernels: Gaussian, Laplace, exponential square-root, and Cauchy, represent a continuum from short- to long-range movement. Fat-tailed kernels generate faster, broader wavefronts, while compact ones limit spread. We also identify a critical bubble, the minimal localized profile required for sustained invasion. Numerical simulations in one- and two-dimensional domains confirm theoretical predictions and reveal parameter regimes governing invasion success. This framework quantifies how dispersal mechanisms shape Wolbachia's spread, thus informing targeted and efficient vector-control strategies.

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Zhuolin Qu, Tong Wu, Eddy Kwessi. 2026-01-24. Travelling Waves in Wolbachia Spread Dynamics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.17590

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