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arXiv · 2602.19351

Network-Level Travel Time Prediction Considering The Effects of Weather and Seasonality

Yufei Ai·Yao Yu·Wenjing Pu·Lu Gao·Yihao Ren
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Abstract

Accurately predicting travel time information can be helpful for travelers. This study proposes a framework for predicting network-level travel time index (TTI) using machine learning models. A case study was performed on more than 50,000 TTI data collected from the Washington DC area over 6 years. The proposed approach is also able to identify the effects of weather and seasonality. The performances of the machine learning models were assessed and compared with each other. It was shown that the ridge regression model outperformed the other models in both short-term and long-term predictions.

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Yufei Ai, Yao Yu, Wenjing Pu, Lu Gao, Yihao Ren. 2026-02-22. Network-Level Travel Time Prediction Considering The Effects of Weather and Seasonality. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.19351

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