Impact of Training Dataset Size for ML Load Flow Surrogates

Abstract

Efficient and accurate load flow calculations are a bedrock of modern power system operation. Classical numerical methods such as the Newton-Raphson algorithm provide highly precise results but are computationally demanding, which limits their applicability in large-scale scenario studies and optimization in time-critical contexts. Research has shown that machine learning approaches can approximate load flow results with high accuracy while substantially reducing computation time. Sample efficiency, i.e., the ability to achieve high accuracy with limited training dataset size, is still insufficiently researched, especially in grids with a fixed topology. This paper presents a systematic investigation of the sample efficiency of a Multilayer Perceptron and two Graph Neural Network variants on a dataset based on a modified IEEE 5-bus system. The results for this grid size show that Graph Neural Networks achieve the lowest losses. However, the availability of large training datasets remains the dominant factor influencing performance compared to architecture choice.