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arXiv · 2602.19782

Addressing Instrument-Outcome Confounding in Mendelian Randomization through Representation Learning

Shimeng Huang·Matthew Robinson·Francesco Locatello
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Abstract

Mendelian Randomization (MR) is a prominent observational epidemiological research method designed to address unobserved confounding when estimating causal effects. However, core assumptions -- particularly the independence between instruments and unobserved confounders -- are often violated due to population stratification or assortative mating. Leveraging the increasing availability of multi-environment data, we propose a representation learning framework that exploits cross-environment invariance to recover latent exogenous components of genetic instruments. We provide theoretical guarantees for identifying these latent instruments under various mixing mechanisms and demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through simulations and semi-synthetic experiments using data from the All of Us Research Hub.

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Shimeng Huang, Matthew Robinson, Francesco Locatello. 2026-02-23. Addressing Instrument-Outcome Confounding in Mendelian Randomization through Representation Learning. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.19782

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