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arXiv · 2603.00285

TraderBench: How Robust Are AI Agents in Adversarial Capital Markets?

Xiaochuang Yuan·Hui Xu·Silvia Xu·Cui Zou·Jing Xiong
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Abstract

Evaluating AI agents in finance faces two key challenges: static benchmarks require costly expert annotation yet miss the dynamic decision-making central to real-world trading, while LLM-based judges introduce uncontrolled variance on domain-specific tasks. We introduce TraderBench, a benchmark that addresses both issues. It combines expert-verified static tasks (knowledge retrieval, analytical reasoning) with adversarial trading simulations scored purely on realized performance-Sharpe ratio, returns, and drawdown-eliminating judge variance entirely. The framework features two novel tracks: crypto trading with four progressive market-manipulation transforms, and options derivatives scoring across P&L accuracy, Greeks, and risk management. Trading scenarios can be refreshed with new market data to prevent benchmark contamination. Evaluating 13 models (8B open-source to frontier) on ~50 tasks, we find: (1) 8 of 13 models score ~33 on crypto with <1-point variation across adversarial conditions, exposing fixed non-adaptive strategies; (2) extended thinking helps retrieval (+26 points) but has zero impact on trading (+0.3 crypto, -0.1 options). These findings reveal that current agents lack genuine market adaptation, underscoring the need for performance-grounded evaluation in finance.

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Xiaochuang Yuan, Hui Xu, Silvia Xu, Cui Zou, Jing Xiong. 2026-02-27. TraderBench: How Robust Are AI Agents in Adversarial Capital Markets?. https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00285

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