SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2603.10678

Surrogate models for nuclear fusion with parametric Shallow Recurrent Decoder Networks: applications to magnetohydrodynamics

Abstract

Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) effects play a key role in the design and operation of nuclear fusion systems, where electrically conducting fluids (such as liquid metals or molten salts in reactor blankets) interact with magnetic fields of varying intensity and orientation, which affect the resulting flow. The numerical resolution of MHD models involves highly nonlinear multiphysics systems of equations and can become computationally expensive, particularly in multi-query, parametric, or real-time contexts. This work investigates a fully data-driven framework for MHD state reconstruction that combines dimensionality reduction via Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) with the SHallow REcurrent Decoder (SHRED), a neural network architecture designed to recover the full spatio-temporal state from sparse time-series measurements of a limited number of observables. The methodology is applied to a parametric MHD test case involving compressible lead-lithium flow in a stepped channel subjected to thermal gradients and magnetic fields spanning a broad range of intensities. To improve efficiency, the full-order dataset is first compressed using SVD, yielding a reduced representation used as reference truth for training. Only temperature measurements from three sensors are provided as input, while the network reconstructs the full fields of velocity, pressure, and temperature. To assess robustness with respect to sensor placement, thirty randomly generated sensor configurations are tested in ensemble mode. Results show that SHRED accurately reconstructs the full MHD state even for magnetic field intensities not included in the training set. These findings demonstrate the potential of SHRED as a computationally efficient surrogate modeling strategy for fusion-relevant multiphysics problems, enabling low-cost state estimation with possible applications in real-time monitoring and control.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

M. Lo Verso, C. Introini, E. Cervi, L. Savoldi, J. N. Kutz, A. Cammi. 2026-03-11. Surrogate models for nuclear fusion with parametric Shallow Recurrent Decoder Networks: applications to magnetohydrodynamics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.10678

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

AUC Maximization from Biased Positive-unlabeled Data with Confidence

Maximizing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a standard approach to imbalanced binary classification. Although positive and negative data are required for maximizing the AUC, negative data are often difficult to collect in some real-world applications due to privacy concerns or the need for specialized expertise to annotate them. Thus, AUC maximization from positive and unlabeled (PU) data has been attracting attention. Existing methods assume that labeled positive data are unbiased samples from the true positive distribution. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in practice. In this paper, we propose a method to maximize the AUC from biased PU data. To address the bias, our key idea is to exploit {\it confidence}, i.e., the probability that an instance is positive, associated with the small number of labeled positive data. We derive an estimator of the AUC risk using biased PU data with confidence, enabling AUC maximization under such bias. We further show that the rewritten AUC risk induces a Bayes-optimal AUC ranking even when the available confidence is any strictly increasing transformation of the true posterior probability. We experimentally show the effectiveness of our method on eight real-world datasets.

cs.LG

Measuring the Value of World-Model Updates: A Counterfactual Utility Protocol for Continual Adaptation

Continual world models must decide whether new data justify changing the model. Fixed replay schedules and prediction-error triggers specify when to update, but neither reveals the value of an individual update: one deployment run cannot show how the same model would have performed at that moment had it held its parameters. We introduce the fork ledger, which branches a deployment stream at pre-registered decision points into matched update and hold continuations under common random numbers. It evaluates both continuations on the same episodes and records $\Delta R = R_{\mathrm{update}} - R_{\mathrm{hold}}$. Always applying one fixed update mechanism lowers return on all three simulated control tasks: CartPole ($-144.0$; checkpoint-bootstrap $95\%$ CI $[-185.4,-116.1]$, against a converged return near $650$), Walker ($-82.8$; $[-101.1,-61.7]$) and Cheetah ($-18.6$; $[-29.0,-6.6]$). Divergence is an outcome of applying the update, so the estimand counts every attempted fork; restricted to the $693$ of $720$ that did not collapse, CartPole and Walker are unchanged in sign ($-113.4$ and $-82.1$) and Cheetah becomes unresolved ($-3.9$; $[-17.5,+13.0]$). The task is the unit of inference: each contributes $240$ attempted forks over five pretrained checkpoints crossed with two drift directions. The ledger makes counterfactual utility observable for a fixed mechanism, allowing triggers to be judged by the updates they select rather than by surprise detection alone.

cs.LG

When More Is Not Better: Component Anti-Synergy in a P300 Speller

P300 brain-computer interface (BCI) spellers can provide hands-free communication for people with severe motor impairments. Modern pipelines combine multiple individually promising components, often assuming that 'more-is-better'. We tested this assumption using a four-component full-factorial experiment varying the inclusion of Euclidean Alignment (EA), xDAWN spatial filtering, subject calibration, and language model priors on a public P300 dataset. Performance was evaluated using accuracy, repetitions, and information transfer rate (ITR) with mixed-effects models. Results show that the value of components is conditional rather than additive. Calibration was the strongest singular contributor, while EA compensated for its absence in zero-calibration settings. Adding independently useful components could also reduce performance, revealing component anti-synergy. Contrary to conventional wisdom, LM support was not universally beneficial: its effect depends strongly on the strength of the underlying EEG pipeline, while results from a larger LM showed a similar pattern. Together, these findings challenge maximal 'all-on' pipeline design and highlight the value of selecting spatial and language-support components according to the quality of available EEG evidence.

cs.LG