FairMed-XGB: A Bayesian-Optimised Multi-Metric Framework with Explainability for Demographic Equity in Critical Healthcare Data

Abstract

Machine learning models deployed in critical care settings exhibit demographic biases, particularly gender disparities, that undermine clinical trust and equitable treatment. This paper introduces FairMed-XGB, a novel framework that systematically detects and mitigates gender-based prediction bias while preserving model performance and transparency. The framework integrates a fairness-aware loss function combining Statistical Parity Difference, Theil Index, and Wasserstein Distance, jointly optimised via Bayesian Search into an XGBoost classifier. Post-mitigation evaluation on seven clinically distinct cohorts derived from the MIMIC-IV-ED and eICU databases demonstrates substantial bias reduction: Statistical Parity Difference decreases by 40 to 51 percent on MIMIC-IV-ED and 10 to 19 percent on eICU; Theil Index collapses by four to five orders of magnitude to near-zero values; Wasserstein Distance is reduced by 20 to 72 percent. These gains are achieved with negligible degradation in predictive accuracy (AUC-ROC drop <0.02). SHAP-based explainability reveals that the framework diminishes reliance on gender-proxy features, providing clinicians with actionable insights into how and where bias is corrected. FairMed-XGB offers a robust, interpretable, and ethically aligned solution for equitable clinical decision-making, paving the way for trustworthy deployment of AI in high-stakes healthcare environments.