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arXiv · 2603.17842

The Revised Evolutionary Volume Tolman Test: Cosmological Constraints from Galaxy Evolution

Christopher J. Conselice·Edmund J. Copeland·Sergio Sevillano Muñoz
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Abstract

In this study we adapt a classical cosmology measurement, the volume or number density test, to a modern synthesis of observed galaxy evolution. We do this by using measured galaxy mass functions and the history of galaxy evolution through star formation and galaxy mergers, inspired by the latest results from deep extragalactic surveys. We develop a new framework using measured galaxy volume number densities as a function of redshift and volume to determine cosmological parameters, especially those which alter the volume of the Universe at a given redshift. Whilst this is a classic cosmology test proposed since at least the 1930s, it has largely been abandoned for decades due to uncertainties in galaxy evolution which make it difficult to trace galaxy populations through time. However, recent advances in our understanding of star formation and the merging history of galaxies allow us to revise this method to uncover and measure cosmological parameters, especially those which involve the nature of dark energy. We present a modified version of the volume test, called the revised evolutionary volume Tolman test, using properties of known galaxy evolution as part of the cosmological calculation. We show how this method can successfully be applied and is competitive with other major cosmological measurement methods, including those using supernova and the CMB, when the merger and star formation histories can be measured accurately to between 1 to 10 percent. This accuracy is not yet achievable, but we discuss how future missions will allow these astrophysical quantities to be known at this level. Within this measurement accuracy we can measure the dynamical properties of dark energy, including its evolution through its equation of state. We also give a fuller accounting of the future use of this new method with upcoming galaxy surveys such as Euclid and LSST/Rubin.

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Christopher J. Conselice, Edmund J. Copeland, Sergio Sevillano Muñoz. 2026-03-18. The Revised Evolutionary Volume Tolman Test: Cosmological Constraints from Galaxy Evolution. https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17842

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