Synchronized disease and behavioural dynamics in weakly coupled populations

Xinxuan Wang; Youngmin Park; Bryce Morsky

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arXiv · 2604.14483

Synchronized disease and behavioural dynamics in weakly coupled populations

Xinxuan Wang·Youngmin Park·Bryce Morsky

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Abstract

The spread of infectious disease is strongly influenced by social dynamics. In addition to infection risk, individuals vaccination decisions depend on prevailing social behavior: high infection levels and widespread vaccination can increase vaccine uptake, which in turn suppresses infection. This feedback can generate sustained oscillations in disease prevalence and vaccination behavior. Here, we study two such populations undergoing the same behavioral epidemiological limit cycle and introduce weak coupling between them through social influence. We show that coupling leads to synchronization of disease dynamics between the two groups. Moreover, we find that different payoff sensitivity may lead to synchronization or anti synchronization.

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Xinxuan Wang, Youngmin Park, Bryce Morsky. 2026-04-15. Synchronized disease and behavioural dynamics in weakly coupled populations. https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14483

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