Don't Start What You Can't Finish: A Counterfactual Audit of Support-State Triage in LLM Agents

Eren Unlu

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arXiv · 2604.16752

Don't Start What You Can't Finish: A Counterfactual Audit of Support-State Triage in LLM Agents

Eren Unlu

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Abstract

Current agent evaluations largely reward execution on fully specified tasks, while recent work studies clarification [11, 22, 2], capability awareness [9, 1], abstention [8, 14], and search termination [20, 5] mostly in isolation. This leaves open whether agents can diagnose why a task is blocked before acting. We introduce the Support-State Triage Audit (SSTA-32), a matched-item diagnostic framework in which minimal counterfactual edits flip the same base request across four support states: Complete (ANSWER), Clarifiable (CLARIFY), Support-Blocked (REQUEST SUPPORT), and Unsupported-Now (ABSTAIN). We evaluate a frontier model under four prompting conditions - Direct, Action-Only, Confidence-Only, and a typed Preflight Support Check (PSC) - using Dual-Persona Auto-Auditing (DPAA) with deterministic heuristic scoring. Default execution overcommits heavily on non-complete tasks (41.7% overcommitment rate). Scalar confidence mapping avoids overcommitment but collapses the three-way deferral space (58.3% typed deferral accuracy). Conversely, both Action-Only and PSC achieve 91.7% typed deferral accuracy by surfacing the categorical ontology in the prompt. Targeted ablations confirm that removing the support-sufficiency dimension selectively degrades REQUEST SUPPORT accuracy, while removing the evidence-sufficiency dimension triggers systematic overcommitment on unsupported items. Because DPAA operates within a single context window, these results represent upper-bound capability estimates; nonetheless, the structural findings indicate that frontier models possess strong latent triage capabilities that require explicit categorical decision paths to activate safely.

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Eren Unlu. 2026-04-17. Don't Start What You Can't Finish: A Counterfactual Audit of Support-State Triage in LLM Agents. https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.16752

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