Asymptotic Vanishing of Stiefel--Whitney Classes for $\mathrm{GL}_n(\mathbb{F}_q)$

Abstract

We study the asymptotic behavior of Stiefel--Whitney classes of irreducible orthogonal representations of the finite general linear groups $\mathrm{GL}_n(\mathbb{F}_q)$. Building on recent formulas expressing these classes in terms of character values at elements of order dividing $2$, we relate questions about characteristic classes to problems of $2$-adic divisibility of character values. For fixed odd $q$, we show that as $n \to \infty$, the values of irreducible orthogonal characters become highly divisible by powers of $2$ for almost all representations. As a consequence, the proportion of irreducible orthogonal representations with trivial first and second Stiefel--Whitney classes tends to $1$, and if $q \equiv 1 \pmod{4}$, the same holds for the fourth Stiefel--Whitney class. In particular, almost all orthogonal representations are spinorial in the large rank limit. In contrast, when the rank is fixed and $q \to \infty$, the behavior is markedly different. Focusing on $\mathrm{GL}_2(\mathbb{F}_q)$, we show that the second Stiefel--Whitney class vanishes with limiting probability $3/8$ among irreducible orthogonal representations.