SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2605.04755

Nearly universal CMB TT spectrum from pre-inflationary dynamics in a closed universe: KICI scenario, bouncing universe, and emergent universe

Abstract

We utilize the phase space analysis method to study the early evolution of the spatially closed universe and find that there exists an attractor denoting the de Sitter expansion phase, and that the universe has three distinct evolutionary paths, which correspond to the kinetic initial conditions for inflation (KICI) scenario, bouncing universe, and emergent universe. Based on the results of the phase space analysis, we calculate the primordial power spectrum and CMB TT spectrum for these models. We find that, for these models, the primordial power spectrum and CMB TT spectrum are suppressed at large scales. The suppression originates from the pre-inflationary dynamics, while the common suppression trend is a consequence of the positive spatial curvature shared by all three models. The oscillation amplitude, in contrast, is determined by the details of the transition, with a smoother transition yielding a smaller amplitude. Moreover, the CMB TT spectra for these models overlap completely, indicating that these models are indistinguishable via their CMB TT spectra, and that the suppression and the detailed shape of the CMB TT spectrum are independent of the specific pre-inflationary dynamics or the presence of a transition stage in a closed universe.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Qihong Huang, Hao Chen. 2026-05-06. Nearly universal CMB TT spectrum from pre-inflationary dynamics in a closed universe: KICI scenario, bouncing universe, and emergent universe. https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04755

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc