TG-DIN: Theory-Guided Demand Inference Network for Generalizable QoS Measurement and Prediction

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce TG-DIN, a theory-guided demand inference network that infers latent user demand from observable network quality-of-service (QoS) measurements. Rather than directly predicting QoS outcomes using black-box models, TG-DIN explicitly models latent demand as an intermediate variable and links it to observable behavior through a differentiable theory layer grounded in scheduling and queuing principles. This design yields an interpretable, mechanism-consistent representation of user demand that is directly applicable to downstream tasks such as congestion diagnosis, resource allocation, capacity planning, and policy evaluation. The theory layer further enables a principled randomized training regime that exposes the model to diverse yet physically meaningful operating conditions without requiring labeled demand data. Extensive synthetic experiments show that TG-DIN generalizes robustly across capacities, demand levels, and traffic patterns, substantially outperforming purely data-driven baselines under distribution shift. Moreover, when trained exclusively on synthetic data and applied directly to real packet traces, TG-DIN accurately recovers per-user allocation structure in shared-link scenarios. Together, these results demonstrate the effectiveness of theory-guided inductive biases for achieving transferable, deployment-ready inference in dynamic network environments.