Closed-form Bayesian quantum estimation of Gaussian states

Abstract

Bayesian quantum estimation provides a robust formalism for quantum technologies, particularly in scenarios with limited data and minimal prior information. Yet, its application to continuous-variable systems has remained limited and largely numerical due to the difficulty of the underlying parameter integrals. Here, we introduce a variational framework that restricts the optimisation over all measurements and estimators to a finite-dimensional subspace, reducing the problem to a linear system of equations with closed-form solutions. These solutions have a geometric interpretation as orthogonal projections of the global optimum onto the chosen subspace. For Gaussian states, a natural subspace is spanned by operators polynomial in the canonical quadratures, whose moments are computable from the first and second moments of the state. We further derive a necessary and sufficient condition for global optimality, and show that post-processing with the posterior mean, rather than using the estimator obtained from the subspace, improves performance towards the global optimum. Through single-shot examples, we show that the framework yields experimentally feasible strategies based on Gaussian operations and quadrature measurements that are either optimal or near-optimal.