Explicit Signal-Adaptive Sequential Optimal Execution Quotes

Abstract

This paper develops a unified explicit solution theory for optimal execution through sequential limit-order placement in a limit order book. Rather than controlling only the trading speed of a metaorder, we determine how individual limit orders should be quoted over time. The model incorporates signal-dependent drift, price impact, inventory risk, and execution risk, with fills modeled by point processes whose intensities depend on the submitted quotes. We formulate four execution criteria: expected terminal wealth, expected terminal wealth with running inventory penalty, CARA utility of terminal wealth, and CARA utility with running inventory penalty. For general price-impact and inventory-penalty functions, we derive the corresponding HJB equations and show that all four problems reduce to a triangular finite-dimensional structure which can be solved explicitly, leading to fully explicit value functions and optimal quotes across all cases. We also prove well-posedness, admissibility, and verification results. The explicit formulas reveal connections between quoting strategies under different criteria, support long-horizon asymptotic analysis, and show numerically that signal-dependent drift can substantially affect optimal execution.