Dead Directions: Geometric Singular Learning

Abstract

Singular learning theory and information geometry study the same spaces: the former in resolved coordinates, the latter in original coordinates under a non-degeneracy assumption that overparameterised models violate. This paper carries one direction of the bridge between them, from Watanabe's invariants to Fisher geometry, through one primitive, the dead direction: a unit vector along which the Fisher metric degenerates, equivalently a direction crossing the analytic singular set along which the KL divergence keeps a zero of high order, its KL order set by how fast that divergence vanishes. Our central result recovers the KL order as the decay rate of the directional Fisher quadratic form approaching the singularity, in original coordinates, without a Hironaka resolution. A selection rule on smooth fibres translates this rate into Watanabe's single-direction contribution to the real log canonical threshold, and the recovery extends to multi-component crossings, multiplicity $m$, the singular fluctuation $\nu$, prior-RLCT shifts, and tempered posteriors. We then carry the rate into a deep network: a multi-layer K-FAC factorisation writes each Fisher block as a product of activation- and gradient-side rates with a duality between them, instantiated at residual streams, layer normalisation, and attention. A quotient theorem carries the rate to the gauge quotient for optimizers whose update commutes with the group action; Adam's per-coordinate preconditioner fails that condition, so we construct DDCAdam, an equivariant Adam-family preconditioner, and prove the quotient rate along its trajectory. The result is a trajectory-rate readout of Watanabe's triple $(\lambda, m, \nu)$ from one checkpoint's forward and backward passes, without posterior sampling.