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arXiv · 2606.06728

Data-driven methods for computation of optimal linear response in high-dimensional dynamical systems

Gary Froyland·Dimitrios Giannakis·Nicholas Peters
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Abstract

We develop a data-driven framework for estimating optimal linear response of nonlinear dynamical systems. Our approach is based on kernel-smoothed approximations of the transfer/Koopman operators of the system, built from possibly high-dimensional observations along trajectories. Combining these operator approximations with the theory developed in [Antown et al. (2018), J. Stat. Phys., 170(6), 1051-1087], we formulate a computationally tractable optimization problem for the optimal infinitesimal perturbation realising any desired manipulation of the spectrum. We also introduce a notion of optimal-response vector fields for visualising, and physically interpreting, the system's response to the optimal perturbation under arbitrary observations. Our focus is on finding perturbations that optimally increase the frequency or optimally suppress the decay of correlations of almost-cycles or almost-invariant sets associated with the eigenvalues of the kernel-smoothed transfer operator. We illustrate our approach with applications to low-dimensional periodic and chaotic systems, as well as a high-dimensional example involving the El Nino Southern Oscillation in a comprehensive Earth system model. In these examples our approach discovers nontrivial optimal perturbations of the system, which are post hoc natural and consistent with the desired dynamical objectives.

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Gary Froyland, Dimitrios Giannakis, Nicholas Peters. 2026-06-04. Data-driven methods for computation of optimal linear response in high-dimensional dynamical systems. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.06728

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