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arXiv · 2606.09284

Disentangling chemical evolution histories with phylogenetic trees

Abstract

Chemical abundances encode the fossil record of galaxy evolution in a complex and diverse way that requires innovative approaches to reconstruct galactic histories. We investigate the power of using phylogenetic methods to disentangle different evolutionary pathways in analytical chemical evolution models. We ran 1024 one-zone chemical evolution models using flexCE. The resulting chemical abundances are combined with those of two fiducial models, mw-fid and dw-fid, and then used both to determine which combinations produce two-branched phylogenetic trees, as well as how purely these trees split the two input models. We used random forests and Shapley analysis to predict which model combinations return well-separated trees and explain which input parameters are most important for this. We also studied the abundance patterns, as well as star formation rates, mass accumulation, and branch lengths. We found that {\eta}, the mass-loading outflow parameter in flexCE, had the largest impact in separating models into separate branches, due to its importance in driving the chemical enrichment rates and total abundances. Star formation rates and mass accumulation had some impact on {\eta}, but no direct relation between these quantities and the abundances was found. We also found that branches connected through the most metal rich tips in our trees, which is opposite to how phylogenetic trees connect in biological systems. Phylogenetic trees help to reconstruct histories when there is information that is inherited between generations, which is the case of the chemical elements in galaxy evolution. Branch topologies can provide information about the rates of evolutionary change of the various populations, and the connection between branches also contains information about their shared history. This work brings us a step further understanding galaxy evolution through cross-disciplinary research.

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Rebeca Canales, Paula Jofré, Claudia Aguilera-Gómez, Payel Das, Robert Yates, Theosamuele Signor, Patricia Tissera, Xia Hua, Robert Foley. 2026-06-08. Disentangling chemical evolution histories with phylogenetic trees. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.09284

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