Percolation and clustering in ecological communities: A dynamical theory

Dario Sergo; Cédric Koller; Vittorio Erba; Lenka Zdeborová

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arXiv · 2606.09494

Percolation and clustering in ecological communities: A dynamical theory

Dario Sergo·Cédric Koller·Vittorio Erba·Lenka Zdeborová

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Abstract

Ecological communities with structured interactions exhibit collective phenomena such as percolation and clustering of occupied sites. While these effects have been documented in experiments and simulations, systematic analytical understanding has remained limited. In this paper, we develop a dynamical theory of these phenomena for competitive ecological systems defined on random interaction graphs. We introduce a discrete version of the generalized Lotka-Volterra model that preserves key macroscopic features of continuous ecological dynamics while enabling analytical treatment. Within this framework, we characterize the emergence of percolating clusters and describe the spatial organization of surviving sites. Our analysis uncovers which equilibria can be reached by the dynamics and shows how this dynamical accessibility governs the onset of clustering and percolation. In doing so, our framework complements classical Lotka-Volterra theory by providing a dynamical perspective on the collective organization of structured communities.

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Dario Sergo, Cédric Koller, Vittorio Erba, Lenka Zdeborová. 2026-06-08. Percolation and clustering in ecological communities: A dynamical theory. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.09494

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