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arXiv · 2606.12501

Policy-driven Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy QoT Estimation

Kiarash Rezaei·Omran Ayoub·Paolo Monti·Carlos Natalino
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Abstract

We propose Conformal QoT, a policy-driven framework that combines statistically guaranteed QoT estimation with operational decision policies, enabling reliable lightpath-feasibility predictions under domain shift and improving accuracy from 92\% to 99.6\% on open datasets.

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Kiarash Rezaei, Omran Ayoub, Paolo Monti, Carlos Natalino. 2026-06-10. Policy-driven Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy QoT Estimation. https://doi.org/10.1364/ofc.2026.m4a.3

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