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arXiv · 2606.13506

Skill vs Education Types of Labour Mismatch and Their Association with Earnings

Vsevolod Iakovlev
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Abstract

This paper analyses the distinction between educational and skill types of labour mismatch and their association with earnings. Drawing on cross-sectional data for 26 countries from the 1st Cycle of the OECD (2012) Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC), I examine educational and skill mismatch using a comprehensive set of education- and skill-based indicators, explore heterogeneity across worker characteristics, and investigate the sources of conflicting country-level correlations with earnings through an error components model. The results show that country-level unobserved heterogeneity induces endogeneity bias, with both its direction and magnitude varying across mismatch measures. Once unobserved heterogeneity is controlled for, over-education and over-skilling are associated with wage penalties, whereas under-education and under-skilling are linked to wage premiums. These findings highlight both conceptual and empirical distinctions between educational and skill mismatch and demonstrate the importance of indicator choice in the analysis.

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Vsevolod Iakovlev. 2026-06-11. Skill vs Education Types of Labour Mismatch and Their Association with Earnings. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.13506

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