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arXiv · 2606.19837

Is dark matter decaying ?

Abstract

An enduring signature of the decay of unstable dark matter constituents into other particles would manifest as a measurable discrepancy in the matter density parameter (Omega_m) between the recombination era (z ~ 1000) and the local Universe (z = 0). While precision measurements of the Cosmic Microwave Background tightly constrain the initial matter budget, evaluating this decay hypothesis requires an equally precise audit of the current epoch. We find that current local inventories of baryonic and dark matter are subject to systematic uncertainties - particularly in accounting for the warm-hot intergalactic medium, diffuse intra-cluster media, and the exact profiles of low-mass dark matter halos - rendering a definitive verdict on late-time dark matter decay currently hard to pin down. Furthermore, existing astrophysical bounds on cosmic rays, the diffuse gamma-ray background, and reionization history already heavily constrain potential decay channels during this epoch. However, next-generation observational technology is poised to resolve these local accounting gaps. Upcoming high-resolution spectroscopic surveys, next-decade X-ray missions, and advanced weak lensing campaigns will drastically reduce baryon and mass-mapping uncertainties, transforming the late-time matter audit into a cleaner, more definitive test.

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Jeremy Mould. 2026-06-18. Is dark matter decaying ?. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.19837

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