Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2606.20685

A Delayed Generalized Lotka--Volterra Model for Threshold Instability and Structural Recognition

Carlo Cattani
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

This paper develops a delayed generalized Lotka--Volterra model for systems in which structural change and recognition of change are not synchronized. The starting point is the idea that a system may accumulate internal transformations while remaining locally stable at the level of interpretation, governance, or perception. Instability becomes effective only when accumulated structural stress crosses a threshold and is recognized after a delay. We introduce a vector of civilizational state variables including systemic complexity, informational entropy, systemic pressure, resilience, and legitimacy. Their interaction is modeled through a delayed generalized Lotka--Volterra system. The delays represent the temporal separation between structural variation and its cognitive, institutional, or social effects. A composite instability functional is then defined, and threshold crossing is interpreted as the transition from latent instability to recognized instability. The paper studies positivity, equilibria, linearization, and local stability of the delayed system. Particular attention is given to delay-induced instability: even when the corresponding non-delayed system is locally stable, sufficiently large delays may destabilize the equilibrium and generate oscillatory or nonlinear behavior. The model provides a mathematical framework for delayed recognition, threshold instability, and the emergence of crises in complex adaptive systems.

Explore related subjects

math.DS

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Carlo Cattani. 2026-06-14. A Delayed Generalized Lotka--Volterra Model for Threshold Instability and Structural Recognition. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.20685

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Admissible Fourier Lengths, KAM Reducibility, and Spectral Applications

We develop a perturbative KAM reducibility theory for one-frequency $\mathrm{SL}(2,\mathbb{R})$ cocycles based on an admissible Fourier length $\ell$. The regularity relevant to the iteration is measured by positive adapted Fourier width rather than ordinary smoothness in the Euclidean length $|n|$. The same length governs Fourier decay, truncation and resonance scales, and the arithmetic condition controlling the small divisors. This framework contains the classical analytic and Gevrey settings, while non-monotone choices of $\ell$ allow classical nowhere differentiable Weierstrass-type perturbations and continuous perturbations outside every positive H\"older class. As spectral applications, we obtain purely absolutely continuous spectrum for every phase and $1/2$-H\"older continuity of the integrated density of states for the associated quasiperiodic Schr\"odinger operators. The Aubry dual has pure point spectrum for Lebesgue almost every dual phase, with eigenfunctions exponentially localized in the metric induced by $\ell$. We also construct nowhere differentiable quasiperiodic potentials with purely absolutely continuous Cantor spectrum.

math.DS↗
arXiv2026

Dynamics inside the attracting basins of some skew products

Polynomial skew products in $\mathbb{C}^2$ are maps of the form $F(z,w)=(P(z),Q(z,w))$, where $P$ and $Q$ are polynomials. Their local dynamics have been widely investigated. In this paper, we study the global dynamics inside Fatou components of some skew products. We consider all the inverse images in a Fatou component of a given point and use the Kobayashi metric to measure the distance between points. In the cases we consider, there are always arbitrarily large Kobayashi balls in the complement of these inverse sets.

math.DS↗
arXiv2026

Ergodicity of dynamical systems without uniqueness of orbits

Recently, there has been considerable interest in the study of non-deterministic dynamical systems. To analyze the chaotic behavior of such systems from a measure-theoretic viewpoint, it is desirable to consider ergodicity. However, the classical definition of ergodicity involves invariant sets, whose definition is not unique for non-deterministic dynamical systems. Thus, we are led to the question of which invariance yields an interesting definition of ergodicity. Here, we propose a definition based on the strong backward invariance and show that analogs of classical results hold. We also consider implications of the Birkhoff ergodic theorem for systems without uniqueness of orbits.

math.DS↗