Time-dependent weighted directed networks of cryptocurrency interaction from high-frequency returns

Shubhangam Shukla; Mahesh Peyyala; Abhijit Chakraborty

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arXiv · 2606.25466

Time-dependent weighted directed networks of cryptocurrency interaction from high-frequency returns

Shubhangam Shukla·Mahesh Peyyala·Abhijit Chakraborty

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Abstract

We investigate the evolving structure of interactions in cryptocurrency markets using a network-based framework constructed from high-frequency price data spanning 2020-2025. Directed and weighted networks are constructed from statistically significant Granger causal relationships between cryptocurrency log-returns, enabling us to quantify the flow of influence across assets. We find that normalized returns exhibit heavy-tailed distributions, consistent with the presence of large intermittent fluctuations and in line with stylized facts of financial markets. The resulting networks display pronounced heterogeneity in link weights and nodal strengths, indicating that a small subset of cryptocurrencies contributes disproportionately to market dynamics. By ranking cryptocurrencies based on their nodal out-strength, we uncover a dynamically evolving hierarchy of influence. Ethereum consistently emerges as the most influential asset, while Bitcoin shows a gradual decline in its relative importance. The ranking structure exhibits substantial temporal variability, with multiple cryptocurrencies entering and exiting the top positions over time. Our findings reveal a highly competitive and non-stable organization of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

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Shubhangam Shukla, Mahesh Peyyala, Abhijit Chakraborty. 2026-06-24. Time-dependent weighted directed networks of cryptocurrency interaction from high-frequency returns. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.25466

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