SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2607.02213

Cloud radiative effects reinforce storm tracks

Abstract

Midlatitude storm tracks play a central role in Earth's climate by transporting heat from low to high latitudes. Their strength is therefore set by the meridional temperature gradients, traditionally thought to be maintained solely by differential solar heating. This framework predicts a substantial seasonal reduction in storm activity, as meridional insolation gradients vanish during summer. Yet in the Southern Hemisphere, storm activity decreases by only 30% from its seasonal maximum. Here, we show that cloud radiative effects are essential for the seasonal maintenance of storm activity by reinforcing the temperature gradients that sustain it. Satellite observations reveal that sunlight reflected by midlatitude clouds in early summer creates a substantial meridional gradient in surface heating, despite the nearly uniform summer insolation. Idealized aquaplanet simulations then show that shortwave cloud radiative effects reinforce meridional sea-surface temperature gradients, thereby strengthening storm activity primarily during late summer and autumn, while longwave cloud effects partly offset this response. To interpret these results, we develop a simple theoretical model linking storms, clouds, and sea-surface temperature gradients. The model reproduces the simulated seasonal response and identifies two emergent cloud properties that control the feedback strength: the maximum attainable cloud albedo and the sensitivity of cloud cover to storm activity. Together, these findings indicate that cloud radiative feedbacks are key to maintaining the thermal gradients that sustain storm activity. More broadly, they reveal a strong coupling among storms, clouds, and the ocean spanning distinct spatial and temporal scales.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Or Hadas. 2026-07-02. Cloud radiative effects reinforce storm tracks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.02213

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Windowed Envelope Statistics for Time-Domain Significant Wave Height Estimation From HF Radar

Significant wave height (SWH) retrieval from high-frequency (HF) radar typically relies on a weak second-order Doppler continuum that is sensitive to noise, interference, and spectral leakage. This letter presents a Windowed Envelope Statistics Estimator (WESE) that operates directly on beam-formed time-domain voltages. A second-order term obtained from a Neumann expansion of the rough-surface field equation motivates quadratic compensation of localized radar features. WESE extracts the mean, standard deviation, or variance from overlapping windows of the in-phase, quadrature, or envelope-magnitude sequence, followed by quadratic compensation, rank ordering, least-squares regression, and causal smoothing. Evaluation used 335 synchronized hourly observations from a 13.385 MHz, 12-element WERA system at Argentia, Newfoundland and Labrador. The optimal configuration used quadrature variance, a 16-sample window, 896 retained chronological samples, and 30-h smoothing, achieving an RMSE of 0.152 m and a Pearson correlation of 0.978. This represents RMSE reductions of 32.1% and 18.7% relative to previously reported linear and second-order compensated ordered-statistics models, respectively. The results demonstrate robust time-domain SWH estimation without explicit Doppler-spectrum construction.

physics.ao-ph

KiloDA: Reconstructing kilometer-scale near-surface wind states from sparse station observations

Accurate kilometer-scale near-surface winds are important for understanding atmospheric processes over complex terrain, yet remain difficult to reconstruct from sparse and unevenly distributed observations. Here we introduce KiloDA, a diffusion framework for hourly kilometer-scale wind reconstruction from surface stations. KiloDA learns the statistical distribution and spatial structure of wind fields from historical 3-km Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model forecasts. At each reconstruction time, no contemporaneous WRF field is used. Instead, station observations provide the only constraints on the current atmospheric state and guide posterior sampling from the learned prior. In idealized WRF experiments, KiloDA recovers localized wind structures when only 0.24% of grid cells are observed and shows an overall advantage over conventional interpolation across terrain conditions and wind speed regimes. This capability largely transfers to real observations. In a fully withheld region, KiloDA reduces the median wind speed root mean square error (RMSE) by 19% relative to ERA5 reanalysis, using only observations outside the region, with the largest improvements over high-elevation and high-relief terrain. A random station holdout further confirms that this advantage extends across different complex-terrain locations and holdout configurations. These results show that historical model archives can provide useful structural knowledge for reconstructing kilometer-scale wind fields from sparse observations without requiring an accurate model estimate of the current atmospheric state.

physics.ao-ph