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arXiv · 2607.03674

A population of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA mergers happening inside active galactic nuclei

Dhruv Kumar·Alejandro Torres-Orjuela
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Abstract

Multimessenger observations of compact binary mergers in active galactic nuclei (AGN) offer unique probes of black hole formation channels and cosmology. We analyse 18 gravitational-wave events from LVK observing runs O3--O4b paired with 28 candidate AGN counterparts, incorporating supermassive black hole (SMBH)-induced environmental redshift corrections and electromagnetic sky-localisation constraints. Of the 28 candidate pairs, 21 are positive-to-strong-favoured (the most compelling being GW190412\_053044 $\leftrightarrow$ J143041.67$+$355703.8 at $\ln\mathcal{B} = +17.35$), three are inconclusive, and four are negative-to-strong-disfavoured. From the 21 positive-to-strong-favoured binary black hole (BBH) AGN pairs, 13 unique associations can be identified as the preferred ones. The cumulative Bayes factor across all 13 BBH-AGN confirmed associations yields $\ln\mathcal{B}_{\rm comb} \approx +81$, establishing strong collective support for AGN-hosted merger associations. Sky localisation is the dominant driver of model selection; at current detector sensitivity, the environmental redshift corrections are neither decisively confirmed nor ruled out, motivating future high-precision multimessenger follow-up.

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Dhruv Kumar, Alejandro Torres-Orjuela. 2026-07-04. A population of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA mergers happening inside active galactic nuclei. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.03674

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