Factor-Augmented Machine Learning Panel Regressions

Andrii Babii; Luca Barbaglia; Eric Ghysels; Jonas Striaukas

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arXiv · 2607.06368

Factor-Augmented Machine Learning Panel Regressions

Andrii Babii·Luca Barbaglia·Eric Ghysels·Jonas Striaukas

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Abstract

This paper develops the asymptotic theory for high-dimensional panel data regressions in settings with cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks. We consider a factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator that combines MIDAS aggregation with latent factors. The estimator can take advantage of the mixed-frequency group structure in the time-series dimension. Theory shows that it can outperform the standard LASSO estimator both for prediction and estimation while allowing for cross-sectional dependence.

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econ.EM math.ST stat.ME stat.ML stat.TH

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BibTeX RIS

Andrii Babii, Luca Barbaglia, Eric Ghysels, Jonas Striaukas. 2026-07-07. Factor-Augmented Machine Learning Panel Regressions. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.06368

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