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arXiv · 2607.14950

Emergence of polymorphism in stochastic evolutionary games

Bill Nunn·Marcel Ortgiese·Tim Rogers
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Abstract

Deterministic evolutionary game theory makes no distinction between a monomorphic population of individuals all of whom share a mixed evolutionarily stable strategy and a polymorphic population of players of pure strategies present in a ratio that reproduces the mixed strategy on average. The so-called trembling hand hypothesis posits that in finite populations demographic noise selects for monomorphism, however, simulation studies have found contradictory results in some situations. Here we resolve this discrepancy by conducting a theoretical analysis of the paradigmatic Hawk-Dove game using timescale separation. We characterise the emergence of polymorphism driven by stochastic effects, finding long-lasting polymorphic states in certain conditions.

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Bill Nunn, Marcel Ortgiese, Tim Rogers. 2026-07-16. Emergence of polymorphism in stochastic evolutionary games. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.14950

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