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arXiv · 2607.16529

Positive-Allocation Companion Predictors for Nonlinear Dynamics and Their Finite-Difference Diagnostics

Cynthia V. Flores·James E. Pascoe
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Abstract

We introduce a positive-allocation companion construction for Koopman-inspired finite-dimensional prediction of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method determines recurrence coefficients by representing a target observable snapshot as a nonnegative, normalized combination of earlier training snapshots. These coefficients define a companion matrix whose spectral structure is induced by the allocation constraints at the construction stage. We prove that normalized positive allocation places the companion spectrum in the closed unit disk and, because the coefficients sum to one, includes $1$ as an eigenvalue. Additionally, we develop modal and non-modal diagnostics for the resulting model trajectory. When the companion matrix is diagonalizable, the modal representation shows that first and second finite differences act as spectral filters through factors of $\lambda_\ell-1$ and $(\lambda_\ell-1)^2$. We also derive $C$-based finite-difference bounds that avoid diagonalization and can be evaluated directly from the training data and companion matrix. Numerical experiments on the FitzHugh--Nagumo and susceptible--infectious--recovered (SIR) models illustrate the behavior of the construction in oscillatory and transient dissipative settings. The examples demonstrate both the interpretability of the companion recurrence and its limitations, particularly when pointwise trajectory agreement degrades while finite-difference and modal diagnostics remain informative.

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Cynthia V. Flores, James E. Pascoe. 2026-07-17. Positive-Allocation Companion Predictors for Nonlinear Dynamics and Their Finite-Difference Diagnostics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16529

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