Estimating stellar metallicities from Gaia DR3 XP data using LAMOST DR10

Abstract

Gaia DR3 provides astrophysical parameters for hundreds of millions of stars, but the metallicities [M/H] from its GSP-Phot module suffer from systematic biases. We estimate stellar metallicities from Gaia DR3 data using the homogeneous spectroscopic iron abundances [Fe/H] of LAMOST DR10 as training labels. We cross-matched LAMOST DR10 with Gaia DR3 and trained a gradient-boosted decision-tree regressor (XGBoost) on 1.20 million AFGK stars using only Gaia-derived inputs and proxies. We validated the estimates on held-out LAMOST stars, GALAH DR4, APOGEE DR17, and 46 open clusters, and applied the model to measure the radial metallicity gradient of the Milky Way disk. On the held-out test set, the model achieves a mean absolute error of 0.052 dex and $R^2=0.94$ with negligible bias, compared with 0.242 dex for GSP-Phot on the same stars. The estimates transfer well to external surveys, with mean absolute errors of 0.066 dex for GALAH and 0.068 dex for APOGEE. For open clusters, the median difference between our estimated [Fe/H] and spectroscopic values is 0.041 dex, smaller than both GSP-Phot (0.248 dex) and a previous APOGEE-trained XGBoost model (0.067 dex). Applied to the Galactic disk, our model recovers a broken thin-disk radial gradient, with inner and outer slopes of $+0.119$ and $-0.058\,\mathrm{dex\,kpc^{-1}}$, respectively, and a break near 5.9 kpc, as well as an open-cluster gradient of $-0.066\,\mathrm{dex\,kpc^{-1}}$; both agree with previous high-resolution spectroscopic studies. Our [Fe/H] estimates are accurate to 0.05-0.07 dex for AFGK stars with $[\mathrm{Fe/H}]\gtrsim-2.5$; below this limit, the predictions should be treated as lower bounds. The catalogue and trained model are publicly available on Zenodo and are suitable for chemical studies of the Milky Way.