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arXiv · 2607.19925

Efficient difference-in-differences estimation under partial interference with incremental propensity score policies

Junjie Li·Yukitoshi Matsushita
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Abstract

This paper develops efficient difference-in-differences (DID) estimation under partial interference with a cluster incremental propensity score (CIPS) policy. We define direct and spillover average treatment effects on the treated, establish their identification, and derive their efficient influence functions, from which we construct a cross-fitted estimator. Simulations evaluate its finite-sample performance. An application to China's New Rural Pension Scheme recovers the reduction in farmwork among pension recipients reported by the original county-level analysis, separately estimates a within-household spillover alongside the direct effect, and traces both effects across the policy parameter.

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Junjie Li, Yukitoshi Matsushita. 2026-07-22. Efficient difference-in-differences estimation under partial interference with incremental propensity score policies. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.19925

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