The Debiased Score Test: Hunt-and-test for Semiparametric Hypotheses

Abstract

The parametric score test assesses a hypothesis through derivatives of the log-likelihood, whose expectation vanishes under the null. When the parameter of interest is a regression function identified as a risk minimiser, we extend this idea to test whether it belongs to a given linear function class. This yields goodness-of-fit tests for common semiparametric regression models, including generalised additive and partially linear models. Suitably formulated, the framework also detects effect modifiers in observational studies. We propose a hunt-and-test strategy that splits the data into two: on one part, after fitting the null model, machine learning is used to identify a promising direction in the empirical scores; on the other, we test whether the score vanishes in that direction. To account for error in estimating the null model, we apply a debiasing correction based on a weighted least squares projection. We establish Type I error control under relatively mild conditions and show the test has power whenever the hunted direction is correlated with the true score. Simulations and real-data examples demonstrate favourable performance, including identifying effect modifiers in an HIV clinical trial and assessing an additive model for insurance claims. The methodology is implemented in the R package dScoreTest.