SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2608.03981

A Tale of Two Couplings: Bayesian Selection in the Interacting Dark Sector

Abstract

$\Lambda$CDM provides a remarkably successful description of the Universe, yet it suffers from persistent discrepancies, with one of the most prominent being the $\sigma_8$ tension between early-Universe Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) measurements and late-time structure growth probes. To address this mismatch, we investigate generalized interacting dark sector models governed by a quintessence field coupled to dark matter via conformal and disformal transformations. By generically engineering a quintessence potential that ensures the combined evolution of dark matter and dark energy exactly mimics $\Lambda$CDM, our models satisfy all background constraints while signaling modified gravity effects within the linear perturbation sector. We perform a statistical analysis using late-time structure growth data anchored to Planck 2018 constraints. Furthermore, we address the initial conditions problem inherent to purely disformal models, demonstrating the necessity of a non-zero initial kinetic energy to initiate dynamical evolution. Our results indicate that purely conformal couplings efficiently transfer energy from dark matter to the quintessence field, suppressing late-time structure formation and successfully accommodating CMB data within late-time modified structure growth. This purely conformal limit yields a strong statistical preference over the $\Lambda$CDM baseline according to both the Akaike and Bayesian Information Criteria. Conversely, while non-zero disformal couplings introduce a kinetic friction that dampens the dark sector energy exchange, their expanded parameter space incurs heavy statistical penalties without providing a decisive improvement over the purely conformal scenario.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Miguel Barroso Varela, Álvaro de la Cruz-Dombriz. 2026-08-04. A Tale of Two Couplings: Bayesian Selection in the Interacting Dark Sector. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.03981

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc