SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2608.07237

Testing the spin-induced multipole moments of compact binary coalescences using the flexible theory-independent framework

Abstract

According to the no-hair theorem, the multipole moments of an electrically neutral black hole in general relativity are entirely determined by its mass and spin. However, this is not in general true for compact objects: The multipole moments of neutron stars or exotic compact objects can depend on their formation history and internal processes, which are encoded in an equation of state. Furthermore, their spin-induced multipole moments differ from those of black holes of the same mass and spin, leaving an imprint on the dynamics and emitted gravitational waves of the binary. Gravitational waves can thus be used to test the nature of compact binary coalescences. Here, we present a test of the spin-induced quadrupole and octupole moments of compact objects based on the flexible theory-independent (FTI) framework. FTI is a parameterized inspiral test of general relativity which enables the addition of post-Newtonian coefficient deviations to the gravitational-wave phase of a generic aligned-spin frequency-domain waveform model. We use this test on synthetic signals to study the measurability of spin-induced quadrupole and octupole moments. Next, we apply the test to a subset of signals observed by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration. Lastly, we present forecasts for next-generation ground-based detectors, such as Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer. Our estimates suggest that these detectors will be capable of placing stringent constraints on the spin-induced quadrupole and octupole moments of $\mathcal{O}(10^{-2})$ and $\mathcal{O}(10^{-1})$ respectively, which is two orders of magnitude tighter than current constraints, and thus on the nature of black holes in a compact binary coalescence.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Elise M. Sänger, Alessandra Buonanno, Ajit Kumar Mehta, Jan Steinhoff. 2026-08-07. Testing the spin-induced multipole moments of compact binary coalescences using the flexible theory-independent framework. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.07237

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc